Saturday, September 17, 2011

COALITION CRISIS, Who comes first - government or €?

The attempts in the Berlin FDP election campaign as an anti-euro party, the CSU will take the necessary Greeks from the monetary union. CDU and the dreams of the grand coalition.

Anyone with photos of politicians through the slogans and decorated capital strolled, not surprised the poor.

Men in sports jackets and some preppy young ladies distributed yellow flyers that advertised the FDP and freshly arrived from the printers. The "Euro-vote" stand on this Sunday, was there to read: "This election is a decision on the German course in the euro crisis. Strengthen the only party that is still willing to talk straight! "

The Liberals worked the Berlin campaign unceremoniously into a lab, performed by an explosive experiment is to revive the comatose FDP politically when it splashes all over the hard stuff?

At the election in the capital, it will no longer go to the new House of Representatives, but the €-reserve systems . The attacks of FDP leadership candidate Christopher Meyer is no longer aimed at the mayor, but to the Chancellor. The Chancellor? Yes, you read that correctly.

"If the FDP as a partner is not available"

"Angela Merkel and Wolfgang Schauble it as a department manager in the past 18 months been unable to find a clear strategy and border line to address the European debt crisis - let alone explain it to the population," Meyer writes in the style of an opposition politician.

Merkel follow the "plan, the European Monetary Union in a transfer and debt Union at large." This could prevent just one ". For such an infinite debt assumption, or the introduction of Euro-Bonds is the FDP is not available as a partner," His anti-Merkel course, added Meyer, was with the party leadership and the chairman Philipp Rosler tuned.

The Vice-Chancellor had the coalition crash beginning of the week with a guest contribution to "World Online"unleashed. "In order to stabilize the euro, it may also give short term no thought control more. This necessary includes an orderly bankruptcy of Greece, when the necessary tools to available, "said Roesler.

For the first time a government went bankrupt member of a state considered.This was not only the investors in the stock markets shudder on Monday, but was mainly responsible for riots in the CDU - particularly as the little sister, the CSU saddled on it, and still the same one exit from the currency union of Greece brought into play. More revolt against the course of the Chancellor is hardly.

Chorus of critics grew louder and louder

The euro rescue is Merkel's most important project in this legislature. But for the chancellor, it is always troublesome to convince its own followers by aids for strapped states such as Greece, Ireland and Portugal.

The chorus of critics has been getting louder for some time. As bad as this week it was before.

The entire management staff of the government denied on stage. Already in Berlin offers you a bet: What breaks rather - the euro zone or the coalition?

Horror in the Chancellery

Merkel watched the debate from the Chancellor's office with horror. On Sunday, as Roesler guest article went to press, they had spread exactly the opposite message. Under the headline "The yearning for simple, quick solutions is great," she had in a long interview warned not to follow such desires. The redevelopment of the euro zone would be years, if not last for decades.

The more angry it made Rosler message, it could also be short and violent. Aggravating factor was that Rosler not signaled what he was doing. No sooner were the first pre-announcement, rushed all the faithful on the

Chancellor Rosler: Union parliamentary leader Volker Kauder disagreed with him that evening on television.
The next day, threshed CDU General Secretary and Group Manager Grohe Hermann Peter Altmaier ("speculation is counterproductive and dangerous!") On Rosler. In vain.

Sun closed as often

Reminders from concerned coalition partners to peace and unity echoed unnoticed. No sooner had submitted Roesler, followed by the top liberal Personnel: General Christian Lindner said that they had the guest article in the party Presidium welcomed "unanimously". Party leader Rainer Bruederle ("We are in solidarity, but not stupid") Roesler was just backing such as Justice Minister Sabine Leutheusser-Schnarrenberger r. So closed the Liberals were rare.

Finally, Merkel was even the very last drop of a harmonious facade coalition, they criticized its vice personally on the radio: "And that's why everyone should weigh his words very carefully. What need we can not, is in financial trouble. "But not from Rosler swore. Reminders of the boss, he replied: "I have to do what I think is right."

FDP Greece or further away from a bankruptcy?

On weekends, the sound deteriorated further. Thuringia's Minister President Christine Lieberknecht (CDU) before throwing Rosler populism. In the "Focus" she grated: "I wonder how much further because the FDP is politically from a bankruptcy than Greece?"

And Finance Minister Wolfgang Schauble said the Vice-Chancellor from the right to speak in the euro-crisis for the government . "Within the guidelines of the Federal Chancellor is the Minister of Finance responsible for the euro," said the conservative politician of the "Bild am Sonntag".

"That talk with many others, I can not change." Countered the FDP, budget expert Otto Fricke assumed Schauble forgetfulness. Who had himself been a half years ago excited in an interview, "to create a kind of bankruptcy procedures for States," Fricke said the newspaper: "That's why no one yet understands why the finance minister now criticizing the economy minister, who quite rightly points out."

"The problem is leadership, Angela Merkel"

FDP board member Joerg-Uwe Hahn gave the Chancellor the blame for the escalating debate: "The problem lies with the union leadership and called Angela Merkel." Damage obvious fact, Merkel's futile attempts to capture their partner, their authority.

"It's like playing football," says one of the union leadership: "If the goalie comes out, then he must also have the ball." Merkel, however, had used next. The debate surrounding the bankruptcy of the Greeks, they wanted to avoid at all costs is unstoppable.

Remarkably: Unlike CSU chief Horst Seehofer, the Merkel trusts any malice, she still believes, Roesler did not mean it evil, but underestimates the consequences of his text. Some in the environment of the Chancellor believe he had learned this week: "Communication is not just the 'what'. But also from the 'When' and by whom '. " The Vice Chancellor also still an apprentice in the political business?

Roesler has been linked by party colleagues aware of?

The Union Group is one step further: Roesler had been linked by party colleagues aware of rumors leading deputies there. The abrupt turnaround in the Berlin election campaign was a maneuver "out of school Juergen Moellemann." Secretary Lindner and would especially Health Minister Daniel Bahr learned their craft at the extreme politicians Mephistophelean Mollemann.

This, once, as now Rosler Vice Chancellor in a black-yellow government, reached for the Liberals made spectacular electoral success, but eventually even from anti-Semitism does not stop. Now €-criticism is not anti-Semitism.The Mollemann analogy illustrates one thing: That the union of all trusts now FDP.

Roesler does not see himself as a Euro-skeptic

It is good Rosler certainly not the populists. The charge that he wanted to "haiderisieren" the FDP, meets him. He does not see himself as a Euro-skeptic.The best he managed the division on Wednesday in Milan, where he gave a speech to the German-Italian Chamber of Commerce. He is for the European integration, he assured the businessmen.

€ When it is about "much more than just a currency that goes far beyond the economic to come." He had almost reached the EU project for peace, when the restriction was followed. They could not keep a stable currency against "Adam Riese".

Rosler describes a feeling that haunts many politicians in the bourgeois camp.It is their €-schism: you feel the European heritage of Helmut Kohl and Hans-Dietrich Genscher committed. At the same time but she steals the worry of having to throw in the euro rescue many economic principles overboard.

If he can deliver?

This also explains the reactions of those Liberal MPs report: For a long time have not you learned so much these days as consent. Roesler has raised expectations. Although his essay was more differentiated, has strengthened mainly an impression: The FDP leader, however, is to transfer new billions in aid to Athens.

But he will also deliver to? There is great danger that the debate in his party now developed a momentum of its own. It is already trying to vote against the permanent members of one euro rescue mechanism to initiate ESM. If the activity of liberal Euro-rebels to be successful, the ability to govern the FDP would be gone.

Observed with astonishment that the CDU. Parliamentary leader Volker Kauder, the public can present to his memories of the grand coalition to participate, which appears every day black-yellow government idyllic .

"Without orientation, leaderless, without a power center and more recently in a panic" was the FDP, frustrated members of the Cabinet report in rounds of MPs and journalists.

Even with the coalition, the Union threatens to break even. The approval of the ESM, to decide the beginning of 2012, the Bundestag is to create conditions for further governance, placed an influential conservative politician this week in the "Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung".

SPD will not participate

The problem with this great idea of the coalition games: The SPD is not willing to participate. While party leader called Sigmar Gabriel, the Chancellor in the "Tagesspiegel" on to end the alliance with the FDP. However, the circumstances as a substitute for the Social Democrats not available .
Was conceivable at most the temporary support of a minority government of the Union, said Gabriel. Generally, however, applies: "If this government is no longer able to act, then they must obtain a new mandate from the people. And the only way is through a new election of the Bundestag. " This in turn is currently not even a constitutional right to vote is available.

Merkel and her coalition will therefore have to try to survive the upcoming Euro-torture vote anyway. The next hurdle will be the decision of a second aid package for Greece, which has been planned for October.
Roesler and CSU leader Seehofer have another hurdle this week, screwed a little higher. After playing their ideas to insolvency (Roesler) and Euro-exit (Seehofer) it is difficult to explain to MPs why they should once again share a rescue package of 109 billion euros. "Procedures" that the situation, sighs a senior government official.

Hope for a specific scenario

Therefore, the government circulated the scenario that their vote on "Greece II," as the new aid package is called, may be spared. Perhaps, as is rumored, even lower, experts from the EU Commission, European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund earlier than the thumb Greece.
Even once the experts had canceled a visit to Athens, because its government had not complied with commitments. Will they not again be satisfied, because insolvency would Rösler. "I would bet that we still need to put together a second rescue package for Greece," says a coalition. It does not sound like a concern for Athens. But as a hope for Berlin.

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